Talking to an elderly relative recently, he reminded me that
in his day, you could have bought a property for the same price of what a
decent second hand car would sell for today and that his father was buying
property for the same price as a decent 50 inch LCD TV! Now of course, these are only headline prices
and we have had wage growth and inflation.
Interestingly, since the Second World War, property values in Fitzrovia
doubled in 1961, 1971, 1975, 1980, 1988, 2000 and 2006.
Looking at more recent times, since the start of the
Millennium, these increases in property values have generated large increases
in equity for many homeowners but on the other side of the coin also making
housing unaffordable for other people. It might interest readers to note that
most of Europe experienced sharp increases in property values in the early
years of 2000’s, with only Spain beating
us (although we know what has happened to the Spanish property market
over the last few years!). In the
2000’s, the British situation was different in two regards. First the property value boom started earlier
and saw more sustained increases, second, the regional pattern was fairly
uniform.
However, since 2010, the regional pattern has been completely
different in the UK. Compared with 2007 (the last property boom), average
property values today in England and Wales are 1.2% higher, whilst in Greater
London, they are 35.7% higher, whereas in Fitzrovia they are 81.78% higher. The
London property market has been like a different country. Looking specifically at Fitzrovia though, it
has continued for first time buyers to get on the housing ladder. The best measure of the affordability of
housing is the ratio of Fitzrovia Property Prices to Fitzrovia Average Wages,
(the higher the ratio, the less affordable properties are).
·
1997 7.02
to 1 (i.e. the average value of a
Fitzrovia property was 7.02 times higher than the average annual wage in
Fitzrovia)
·
2000 9.98
to 1
·
2002 11.05
to 1
·
2003 11.37
to 1
·
2007 13.52
to 1
·
2009 13.57
to 1
·
2012 16.89
to 1
·
Today 20.62
to 1
You can see quite clearly, just after the 2007 property
crash, in the following subsequent years Fitzrovia house price’s were rising
but wages not keeping up with them, the
ratio started rise. This has meant there
has been a deterioration in affordability of property in Fitzrovia over the
last couple of years. This is one of the
(many) reasons why the younger generation is deciding more and more to rent
instead of buy their own house. The local
Council sold off council houses in the Thatcher years and for many on low
incomes or with little capital, owning a home has simply never been an option.
With fewer people able to save up the deposit
required by mortgage lenders, more and more people are looking to rent, this
has also resulted in a change in attitudes towards renting over the last
decade. This delay in moving up the property ladder has driven rents up
in Fitzrovia over the last few years, as more people are seeking properties to
rent. All these things have combined to make the demand for rental
property in Fitzrovia rise. If you are an existing landlord or someone
thinking of become a first time landlord looking for advice and opinion and
what (or not to buy in Fitzrovia),
one source of information is the Fitzrovia Property Blog Fitzroviapropertyblog.com
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